Friday, April 19, 2013

What is powering TCS, HCL Tech s growth vs Infosys


The results for the March quarter makes one thing clear: the gap between the likes of TCS and HCL Technologies and industry veteran Infosys is widening as far as financial performance is concerned.

And this is likely to continue in the next few quarters as well, as the Bangalore-based company struggles to grow revenue without further diluting profitability. Both TCS and HCL Technologies have reported robust volume growth in the March 2013 quarter and the managements of both the companies also sounded confident about future growth.
TCS, for instance, expects to beat the average guidance of 12-14% revenue growth for FY14 provided by the industry's lobbying arm Nasscom, citing better demand than the previous year. In contrast, Infosys has guided for a dismal 6-10% growth for FY14.

An analysis of the incremental revenue and net profit in FY13 compared with the last fiscal, indicates that TCS and HCL Technologies were far more aggressive than Infosys in adding new business.

TCS, the biggest among the three software services firms, added $1,398 million of revenue and $349 million of net profit in FY14. HCL Tech increased its revenue by $504 million and net profit by $234 million. In contrast, Infosys added just over $404 million to its top line and only $9 million to its bottom line.

These numbers also show that Infosys added new revenue at a poor margin of 2.2%, compared with 25% for TCS and a whopping 46.4% for HCL Technologies. What appears to have created a drift in the performance of these players is their strategy in relation to infrastructure management services.

HCL Tech has been aggressively focusing on this service line for the past few years. While the growth in traditional IT applications and development services has been tepid, infrastructure management services have grown at a faster clip.

HCL Technologies earned over 30% of revenue from infrastructure related services in the March 2013 quarter, compared with 24% a year ago. The division has delivered 8-10% sequential growth over the past few quarters. On the other hand, traditional software services grew just over 1%.

TCS has also increased the share of revenue from the infrastructure segment to 12% in FY13 from 9.4% two years ago. Its revenue grew by a strong 47% in FY13, compared with a growth of 23% in applications development and maintenance services.

Infosys, in contrast, earns just over 7% of its revenues from infrastructure related services, while IT applications and maintenance constitute 38% of its top line. The flip side of increasing exposure to infrastructure services, however, is lower margins. For HCL Tech, the margin gap is about 200 basis points between infrastructure and software services.

In FY14, TCS and HCL Tech are likely to retain their lead over Infosys. Stronger project pipelines and better project ramping up will be the key differential.

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