NEW
DELHI: The rupee's downward spiral against the US dollar could spell
good news for the domestic IT-ITeS sector, which has been facing strong
headwinds due to a weak global economy, provided the Indian currency's
softening continues.
However, depreciation in
the Indian currency, which fell to a life-time low of 58.16 against the
dollar, could lead to rise in input costs for handset makers who see
their margins eroded by the fall and could be forced to pass on the
burden to the consumer, in case the situation persists.
"Rupee
depreciation will impact IT and off-shore service providers in a
positive way if it sustains for a longer period say for this quarter. It
will help in expanding their margins to a certain extent," Gartner
Research Director Arup Roy said.
On being asked
if the clients will pressurise the service providers (IT & ITeS)
for discounts, he said: "The scenario of clients looking to re-negotiate
on discounts will only happen if the depreciation in the Rupee
continues for a longer time."
Angel Broking
Research Analyst Ankita Somani said Rupee depreciating by 1 per cent
gives about 30-35 basis points in the operating margins of the IT firms.
"Rupee
depreciation in a way is good for the IT firms. Normally the operating
margins of these firms is helped by the depreciation," she added.
However,
for the middle and low tier mobile makers, the weakening of the Rupee
against the US dollar will pinch their margins as most of them import
devices or their parts and this could lead to a rise in their input
costs.
"There is really a disadvantage for
mid-tier and low-tier handsets makers who are importing into India
because at that level the price sensitivity to the device price is very
high and with the recent depreciation of the rupee that is having a
direct impact on retail prices of imported handsets.
"And
at low and mid tier, it's likely to have an impact on sales because of
the elasticity of demand at that level," PwC India Leader Telecom
Mohammad Chowdhury said.
Chowdhury said it is
less likely to impact smartphones because the price sensitivity is
little less, but added, "I would say is that in longer term if Rupee
remains depreciated then there might be an upside benefit for Indian
handset manufacturers with respect to exporting to other emerging
markets."
One cannot expect these manufacturers
to resist price increases because the increase can be absorbed for some
time as the margins are not very high, he added.
Lava
International Co-founder and Director SN Rai said the situation is
affecting the margins of everybody as most of the manufacturers import
the components.
"We will watch the situation
for a fortnight and if the situations persists, we don't have a choice
but to pass the cost to the consumer," he added.
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